Private Research DFNB16

STRC p.(Glu1659Ala)
Variant Pathogenicity Analysis

Computational evidence supporting reclassification of NM_153700.2(STRC):c.4976A>C from Variant of Uncertain Significance (VUS) to Likely Pathogenic. Includes AlphaMissense prediction, AlphaFold structural context, ACMG criteria, and gene therapy landscape.

AlphaMissense
0.9016
Likely Pathogenic
AlphaFold pLDDT
95.69
Very high confidence
REVEL Score
0.65
Predicted deleterious
gnomAD Frequency
0
Absent from controls

AlphaMissense Saturation

Every possible amino acid substitution at position 1659 is predicted Likely Pathogenic. This position is structurally invariant: any change breaks the protein.

EW
0.9997
EF
0.9992
EP
0.9985
EC
0.9984
EY
0.9981
EL
0.9929
EH
0.9927
EI
0.9923
EM
0.9909
EN
0.9822
ET
0.9666
EV
0.9664
ER
0.9634
ED
0.9483
ES
0.9433
EK
0.9272
EG
0.9191
EA
0.9016 MISHA
EQ
0.8460
Threshold: Likely Pathogenic > 0.564 | Ambiguous 0.340-0.564 | Likely Benign < 0.340

3D Protein Structure

Stereocilin (Q7RTU9, 1775 aa) from AlphaFold v6. Position E1659 highlighted in magenta. Drag to rotate, scroll to zoom.

Full Protein

Color: pLDDT confidence (blue=high, red=low)

E1659 Close-up

Glutamic acid side chain shown as sticks

Wildtype: Glutamic Acid (E)

  • Charge: Negative (-1)
  • Side chain volume: 138.4 A3
  • Hydrogen bond capacity: Donor + Acceptor
  • Role: Salt bridges, electrostatic interactions

Mutant: Alanine (A)

  • Charge: Neutral (0)
  • Side chain volume: 67.0 A3 (-52%)
  • Hydrogen bond capacity: None
  • Impact: Loss of charge, loss of H-bonds, cavity creation

ACMG Classification

Criterion Strength Evidence
PM3 Moderate Detected in trans with pathogenic whole-gene deletion (confirmed paternal)
PP3_Moderate Moderate AlphaMissense 0.9016 + REVEL 0.65 concordant (Pejaver 2022 threshold)
PM2_Supporting Supporting Absent from gnomAD (0 alleles in 251,000+ individuals)
Result: Likely Pathogenic

2 Moderate + 1 Supporting = Likely Pathogenic per ACMG/AMP 2015 combining rules

Iranfar et al. 2026 - Key Results

PMC12784207 | DOI: 10.1002/ctm2.70571 | Clinical and Translational Medicine, Jan 2026

Vector
Dual AAV9-PHP.eB
STRC cDNA split at nt 2775/2776 (exon 8-9 junction). Both halves within 4.7kb AAV packaging limit.
OHC Transduction
55-64%
Apical 64.2%, medial 55.4%, basal 58.7%. Comparable to wildtype STRC expression.
Hearing Recovery
Near-normal thresholds
DPOAE + ABR restored. Frequency discrimination recovered (Go/No-Go behavioral testing, 100 days post-treatment).
Therapeutic Window
P0-P5 (mice)
After P5, OHC transduction drops below 5%. Authors note: adult treatment may require different AAV serotype.

Mini-STRC Hypothesis

NEW COMPUTATIONAL

Current STRC gene therapy requires two AAV vectors because the gene (5325 bp) exceeds the single-AAV packaging limit (~4400 bp usable). AlphaFold structural analysis suggests a single-vector approach may be possible.

The packaging problem

Full STRC cDNA 5325 bp
AAV limit (with promoter/ITR) ~4400 bp
Mini-STRC (predicted) 3984 bp

What AlphaFold reveals

AlphaFold predicts stereocilin's structure with varying confidence along the protein. The N-terminal region (residues 1-615) has very low confidence (pLDDT < 50), indicating it is likely intrinsically disordered with no stable 3D structure. The functional core starts around residue 616.

E1659
cut here
1 N-terminal (disordered) LRR domain C-terminal (functional core) 1775

Remove (447 aa, 1341 bp)

  • 23-114 N-terminal disordered (pLDDT 30.6)
  • 132-251 Disordered region (pLDDT 37.0)
  • 309-387 Disordered loops (pLDDT 38-47)
  • 449-485 Disordered loop (pLDDT 47.5)
  • 496-615 Large disordered region (pLDDT 31.1)

All regions have pLDDT < 50 (no stable structure predicted)

Keep (1328 aa, 3984 bp)

  • 1-22 Signal peptide (secretion)
  • 616-1074 LRR domain (protein interactions)
  • 1075-1775 C-terminal (tectorial membrane attachment)
  • 1659 Misha's variant position (preserved)
  • 8 glycosylation sites in functional core preserved

3984 bp fits in single AAV (<4400 bp limit)

Precedent: micro-dystrophin

This approach has proven precedent. The dystrophin gene (11,000 bp) was too large for any AAV. Researchers created "micro-dystrophin" by removing non-essential spectrin-like repeats, fitting it into a single AAV. This is now in Phase 3 clinical trials (Sarepta SRP-9001). The same principle: identify the structural core, remove disordered/redundant regions, preserve function. Nobody has tried this for STRC yet.

Important: This is a computational hypothesis based on AlphaFold structural predictions. It requires experimental validation: does mini-stereocilin fold correctly? Does it localize to stereocilia tips? Does it form horizontal top connectors and tectorial membrane attachments? These questions need wet-lab work. But the structural data strongly suggests the N-terminal region is dispensable, and a single-AAV mini-STRC approach deserves investigation.

Gene Therapy Timeline

Dec 2021
Shubina-Oleinik et al. (Science Advances): First dual-AAV STRC gene therapy in mice. Proof of concept. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abi7629
Dec 2022
WES performed at HK Children's Hospital. STRC deletion (paternal) + VUS missense (maternal) identified. Lab No: 23C7500174.
Dec 2023
WES report updated with parental testing confirmation. Compound heterozygous STRC.
2025
OTOF gene therapy trials: 11/12 children improved hearing (DB-OTO, NEJM 2025). 3 achieved normal hearing. Precedent for inner ear gene therapy.
Jan 2026
Iranfar et al. (Clinical and Translational Medicine): Dual AAV9-PHP.eB restores hearing to near-normal thresholds in STRC mice. 60% OHC transduction. Frequency discrimination recovered up to 100 days. DOI: 10.1002/ctm2.70571
Mar 2026
AlphaMissense analysis: E1659A scored 0.9016 (Likely Pathogenic). ACMG reclassification evidence: PM3 + PP3_Moderate + PM2_Supporting = Likely Pathogenic.
~2028-29
Expected first-in-human STRC gene therapy trial. Patient will be 7-8 years old. Note: therapeutic window in mice = P0-P5; in humans likely wider but early intervention critical.

Why AlphaMissense Matters for STRC

The STRC Pseudogene Problem

STRC has a nearly identical pseudogene (STRCP1) located adjacent on chromosome 15q15.3. This causes most standard computational tools to fail or return unreliable results for STRC variants:

SIFT
Returns null for E1659A. Cannot reliably align STRC due to pseudogene.
PolyPhen-2
Returns null. Same pseudogene alignment issue.
CADD
No score available for this position. Genomic coordinate mapping affected by pseudogene.
AlphaMissense
Works. Uses protein structure prediction (AlphaFold), not genomic alignment. Immune to pseudogene interference. Score: 0.9016.

AlphaMissense is uniquely valuable for STRC because it predicts pathogenicity from protein structure, bypassing the sequence-alignment step where pseudogene STRCP1 causes other tools to fail. REVEL (0.65) also provides a concordant prediction, using an ensemble approach that partially mitigates this issue.

Active Clinical Trials

No STRC trials yet

As of March 2026, there are no registered clinical trials specifically for STRC/DFNB16 gene therapy. Preclinical evidence (Iranfar 2026, Shubina-Oleinik 2021) supports feasibility. First-in-human trials expected 2028-2029.

Related: Inner Ear Gene Therapy Trials

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov. These OTOF trials establish precedent and regulatory pathway for STRC gene therapy.

How I Did This

I'm a father with no scientific training. I work in technology and creative production. Here is exactly what I did, step by step, so anyone in the same situation can do it too.

1

I started with my son's genetic report

Michael's WES report from Hong Kong Children's Hospital listed two STRC variants. One was labeled "Pathogenic" (a whole gene deletion from his father). The other was labeled "Variant of Uncertain Significance" (a single letter change from his mother): c.4976A>C p.(Glu1659Ala). I needed to know: is this second variant actually harmful?

2

I found the protein in AlphaFold

I searched for "STRC" on UniProt and found that stereocilin's ID is Q7RTU9. Then I went to AlphaFold and found the predicted 3D structure of the protein. The confidence score at position 1659 was 95.69 out of 100 (the structure prediction is very reliable at this spot).

3

I checked AlphaMissense (the key discovery)

AlphaMissense is a tool by Google DeepMind that predicts whether a protein mutation is harmful. I downloaded the predictions for every possible mutation in stereocilin. For position 1659, I searched for "E1659A" (E = Glutamic acid, the original; A = Alanine, Michael's variant).

The result: 0.9016 out of 1.0 (Likely Pathogenic). Anything above 0.564 is considered likely harmful. Then I checked every other possible change at the same position. All 19 alternatives scored above 0.846. This means position 1659 is critical: any change there breaks the protein.

Download the file: AlphaMissense predictions for STRC (CSV, search for "E1659")
4

I tried the standard tools (they failed)

Normally, geneticists use SIFT, PolyPhen-2, and CADD to check variants. I tried all three. They all returned nothing for this variant. The reason: STRC has a "twin" gene next to it on the chromosome (a pseudogene called STRCP1) that confuses these tools. They can't tell the real gene from the copy. This is why AlphaMissense is so important for STRC: it works from the protein structure, not from the DNA sequence, so the pseudogene doesn't affect it.

5

I applied the ACMG classification rules

ACMG is the standard framework geneticists use to classify variants. I learned the rules and applied them to Michael's case:

  • PM3 (Moderate): The variant was found together with a known pathogenic deletion, one from each parent. This is confirmed.
  • PP3 (Moderate): Two computational tools agree it's harmful (AlphaMissense 0.9016 + REVEL 0.65).
  • PM2 (Supporting): The variant has never been seen in over 251,000 healthy people (gnomAD database).

2 Moderate + 1 Supporting = Likely Pathogenic. That's the rule. The variant should no longer be classified as "uncertain."

6

I wrote to the hospital

I compiled everything into a formal letter and sent it to the genetics laboratory at Hong Kong Children's Hospital, requesting a reclassification review. I also built this website so the evidence is transparent and reproducible.

7

What happens next

If the hospital accepts the reclassification, Michael's molecular diagnosis will be complete: biallelic pathogenic STRC. This is a prerequisite for future gene therapy clinical trials. Dual-AAV gene therapy has already restored hearing in STRC-deficient mice (January 2026). Human trials are expected within 2-3 years. Michael will be 7-8 years old.

Tools used (all free)

No accounts needed. No API keys. No programming required (the CSV file can be opened in Excel). Total cost: $0.